Prediction: Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery
Team pages: Lorenzo Musetti · Arthur Fery
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Musetti
Arthur Fery
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Musetti
8-2 (W-L)
Arthur Fery
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Musetti
1–0
Arthur Fery
(1 last)
- 01 Sept3-0 19-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Musetti 1534 · Arthur Fery 1527
| Lorenzo Musetti | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Musetti 1–0 Arthur Fery (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Musetti | Arthur Fery | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.9 | 12.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 55.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 60% · 2.00
Under 22.5: 40% · 1.72
H2H · Lorenzo Musetti 1 – 0 Arthur Fery (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Musetti 1–0 Arthur Fery
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 US Open | 3-0 | 19-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Musetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Dane Sweeny US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
| 01/09 | Arthur Fery US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Arthur Fery
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 08/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Musetti vs Arthur Fery?
Our model gives 59% to Lorenzo Musetti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.