Tennis · W100 Templeton · 28/09, 19:00

Prediction: Diletta Cherubini vs Maria Aytoyan

Team pages: Diletta Cherubini · Maria Aytoyan

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Diletta Cherubini Maria Aytoyan
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Diletta Cherubini 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLLLLWW
Maria Aytoyan 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diletta Cherubini 1507 · Maria Aytoyan 1504
Diletta CherubiniMaria Aytoyan
Our model50%50%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maria Aytoyan makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Diletta CherubiniMaria Aytoyan
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard – 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10-10.910.9-10.1
Aces0.41.1
Double faults2.94.4
1st serve %53.5%61.6%
Break %46%60.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diletta Cherubini

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W50 Yecla
1-2 11-14 L
22/09 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W50 Yecla
2-1 15-10 W
14/09 Aran Teixido Garcia
WTA Valencia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/09 Isabella Shinikova
WTA Valencia · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
10/09 Matilde Paoletti
W35 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
08/09 Neus Torner Sensano
W35 Reus · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W
04/09 Fiona Ferro
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Vivian Wolff
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-7 W
01/09 Diana Martynov
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Josy Daems
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 4-12 L

Maria Aytoyan

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Arianna Zucchini
W50 Berkeley
1-2 10-17 L
25/07 Shakhnoza Khatamova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/07 Camille Kiss
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
03/07 Kate Fakih
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
02/07 Alexandra Vagramov
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Yilin Chen
W15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Salma Ewing
W15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
18/06 Kaitlyn Carnicella
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Claire Hill
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
16/06 Caroline Driscoll
W15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diletta Cherubini vs Maria Aytoyan?

Our model gives 58% to Diletta Cherubini, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.