Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Alex Barrena vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Alex Barrena · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Barrena
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Barrena
8-2 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Barrena 1606 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1459
| Alex Barrena | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Barrena (rating 1606 vs 1459).
- Alex Barrena is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alex Barrena | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.9 | 12.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 30.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Barrena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Valentin Garay Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Daniel Rincon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Barrena vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 54% to Alex Barrena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.