Tennis · W15 Varna · 28/09, 08:30

Prediction: Beatris Spasova vs Serena Paris

Team pages: Beatris Spasova · Serena Paris

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Beatris Spasova Serena Paris
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Beatris Spasova 2-8 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLLL
Serena Paris 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beatris Spasova 1464 · Serena Paris 1495
Beatris SpasovaSerena Paris
Our model46%54%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Beatris Spasova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
  • Note: Serena Paris makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Beatris SpasovaSerena Paris
Win %30%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.61.2-1.2
Games (G-P)7-11.39.8-9.3
Aces0.90.2
Double faults5.34.1
1st serve %52.1%58.1%
Break %42%63.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beatris Spasova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/09 Lucie Petruzelova
W50 Plovdiv
0-2 9-13 L
13/09 Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W50 Pazardzhik
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Zuzana Kudlackova
W50 Horb
0-2 5-12 L
12/07 Lily Hutchings
W50 Nottingham
0-2 2-12 L
16/06 Valeriia Artemeva
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Galena Krastenova
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-1 15-12 W
14/06 Helena Muzinic
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/05 Denislava Glushkova
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
10/05 Nika Bumbak
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
27/04 Aruzhan Sagandikova
W75 Lopota · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Serena Paris

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
08/09 Agnese Gentili
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
0-2 2-12 L
07/09 Viola Cossari
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
2-0 12-1 W
04/09 Alesia Breaz
W15 Brasov
0-2 5-12 L
03/09 Sofia Kryvoruchko
W15 Brasov
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Asia Scuppa
W15 Brasov
2-1 14-12 W
01/09 Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez
W15 Brasov
2-1 11-9 W
11/08 Alexandra Irina Anghel
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Yasmin Ezzat
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
30/06 Allegra Fiorani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beatris Spasova vs Serena Paris?

Our model gives 51% to Serena Paris, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.