Tennis · M25 Slobozia · 28/09, 09:00

Prediction: Borys Zgola vs Andrea Brignacca

Team pages: Borys Zgola · Andrea Brignacca

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Borys Zgola Andrea Brignacca
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Borys Zgola 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLWLLL
Andrea Brignacca 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borys Zgola 1422 · Andrea Brignacca 1471
Borys ZgolaAndrea Brignacca
Our model43%57%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Brignacca (rating 1422 vs 1471).

Statistics

Borys ZgolaAndrea Brignacca
Win %20%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (2) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.5-1.70.9-1.2
Games (G-P)8.6-10.99.2-9.7
Aces2.73.6
Double faults1.91.2
1st serve %69.6%70.6%
Break %33%44.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borys Zgola

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 David Petrofsky
M25 Pardubice
0-2 7-12 L
22/09 Lamin Lourenzo Da Silva
M25 Pardubice
2-1 11-7 W
27/08 Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Poznan
0-2 8-12 L
26/08 Dawid Wisniewski
M25 Poznan
2-0 12-5 W
04/08 Michael Savano
M15 Bielsko Biala
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Wojciech Marek
M25 Koszalin
1-2 9-11 L
23/06 Tomas Lanik
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
11/05 Marwan Ehab
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/03 Melih Anavatan
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
25/03 Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Andrea Brignacca

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Radovan Michalik
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/09 Trisztan Gubi
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/09 Peter Goldsteiner
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 David Ioan Morega
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/09 Ivan Sabanov
UTR Pro Budapest · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
29/07 Alan Wazny
M25 Koszalin
0-2 8-12 L
28/07 Maciej Matuszczyk
M25 Koszalin
2-0 13-9 W
21/07 Gabriele Thomas Brancatelli
M25 Bacau
1-2 10-11 L
14/07 Tristan Berard
M25 Uriage
0-2 6-12 L
13/07 Alexey Dubinin
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borys Zgola vs Andrea Brignacca?

Our model gives 52% to Borys Zgola, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.