Prediction: Arina Arifullina vs Min Liu
Team pages: Arina Arifullina · Min Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Arina Arifullina
Min Liu
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Arina Arifullina
5-5 (W-L)
Min Liu
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arina Arifullina
1–0
Min Liu
(1 last)
- 29 Aug2-1 19-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arina Arifullina 1511 · Min Liu 1387
| Arina Arifullina | Min Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arina Arifullina (rating 1511 vs 1387).
- Arina Arifullina is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arina Arifullina 1–0 Min Liu (1).
Statistics
| Arina Arifullina | Min Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.5 | 7.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 47.8% |
| Break % | 42% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Arina Arifullina 1 – 0 Min Liu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arina Arifullina 1–0 Min Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/23 ITF W25 Valladolid | 2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arina Arifullina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Kseniia Ruchkina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 14/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Satima Toregen W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Daria Zelinskaya W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Min Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Defne Cirpanli W35 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Julia Garcia W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Anna Kubareva W75 Ourense |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Miroslava Medvedeva W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Berta Bonardi W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arina Arifullina vs Min Liu?
Our model gives 80% to Arina Arifullina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.