Prediction: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Valentina Abril Bruno
Team pages: Kateryna Lazarenko · Valentina Abril Bruno
Prediction summary
Winner
Kateryna Lazarenko
Valentina Abril Bruno
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kateryna Lazarenko
6-4 (W-L)
Valentina Abril Bruno
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kateryna Lazarenko 1600 · Valentina Abril Bruno 1484
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Valentina Abril Bruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1600 vs 1484).
- Kateryna Lazarenko is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Kateryna Lazarenko makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Valentina Abril Bruno | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9 | 7.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Laura Rabasco Segura W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Emily Appleton W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Isabel Adrover Gallego W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Julia Adams W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Mia Chudejova W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Valentina Abril Bruno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W35 Baza |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Baotong Xu W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Simona Ogescu W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Ioana Maria Sandru W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 11/08 | Simona Ogescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Karolina Kozakova W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Sol Ailin Larraya Guidi W15 Madrid |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Madrid |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Sandra Ciobica W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kateryna Lazarenko vs Valentina Abril Bruno?
Our model gives 80% to Kateryna Lazarenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.