Tennis · W35 Baza · 28/09, 12:00

Prediction: Carlotta Moccia vs Carolina Gomez

Team pages: Carlotta Moccia · Carolina Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Carlotta Moccia Carolina Gomez
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlotta Moccia 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLW
Carolina Gomez 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carlotta Moccia 1489 · Carolina Gomez 1504
Carlotta MocciaCarolina Gomez
Our model48%52%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Carlotta Moccia makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Carolina Gomez makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Carlotta MocciaCarolina Gomez
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.31.2-1.1
Games (G-P)8-10.59.7-9
Aces0.61.2
Double faults4.45.3
1st serve %51.5%59.8%
Break %36.2%46.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carlotta Moccia

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W35 Baza
2-0 12-8 W
02/09 Daniela Vismane
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 9-13 L
31/08 Nicole Andrea Molaro
W15 Fiano Romano
2-0 13-9 W
24/08 Paula Ormaechea
W35 Trieste
0-2 2-12 L
22/07 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Gran Canaria
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Luca Udvardy
W15 Krsko
0-2 4-12 L
14/07 Isabelle Cherny
W15 Krsko
2-1 11-11 W
21/05 Anastasia Bertacchi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
20/05 Lourdes Ayala
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/05 Alice Gillan
W15 Monzon · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L

Carolina Gomez

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/09 Ainara Fernandez Sanchez
W35 Baza
2-1 11-9 W
21/09 Georgina Garcia-Perez
W50 Yecla
0-2 9-13 L
20/09 Carson Tanguilig
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-7 W
30/07 Fiona Crawley
W75 Lexington
1-2 11-16 L
28/07 Victoria Osuigwe
W75 Lexington
1-2 12-10 L
27/07 Katie Lankford
W75 Lexington
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Malaika Rapolu
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Annika Penickova
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-5 W
20/07 Madison Rose
W35 Santa Fe
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Madison Brengle
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 2-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carlotta Moccia vs Carolina Gomez?

Our model gives 60% to Carolina Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.