Prediction: Lilian Poling vs Fanny Pire
Team pages: Lilian Poling · Fanny Pire
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Poling
Fanny Pire
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Poling
7-3 (W-L)
Fanny Pire
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Poling 1574 · Fanny Pire 1450
| Lilian Poling | Fanny Pire | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilian Poling (rating 1574 vs 1450).
- Lilian Poling is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lilian Poling | Fanny Pire | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.1 | 7.2-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 44.6% |
| Break % | 52% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Ingrid C Millan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 13/09 | My-Anh Holmes UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Monika Ekstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Juny Huh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Pepper Rickert UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Paula Schaefer UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Bella Pitchford UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Fanny Pire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Liana Cammilleri W35 Reims |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Emira Diabate W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Kamila Kashaeva W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Margaux Maquet W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Valentina Ivanov W50 Knokke-Heist |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Izzy Burrow UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Freya Christie UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Cheyenne J Borg UTR Pro Stirling Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Poling vs Fanny Pire?
Our model gives 79% to Lilian Poling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.