Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 28/09, 06:30
Prediction: Stefan Menichella vs Kenta Kawada
Team pages: Stefan Menichella · Kenta Kawada
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Menichella
Kenta Kawada
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Menichella
4-6 (W-L)
Kenta Kawada
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Menichella 1426 · Kenta Kawada 1474
| Stefan Menichella | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kenta Kawada (rating 1426 vs 1474).
- Note: Kenta Kawada makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Stefan Menichella | Kenta Kawada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 14% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.7 | 11.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Menichella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Arjun Rathi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Bali |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 30/08 | Renaldi Aqila A Salim M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Vit Kalina M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/01 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/01 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 21/01 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Avner Wong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Kenta Kawada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/09 | Taki Adachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Rin Kojima M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Menichella vs Kenta Kawada?
Our model gives 66% to Stefan Menichella, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.