Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 28/09, 02:00
Prediction: Seiya Nakanishi vs Stefan Menichella
Team pages: Seiya Nakanishi · Stefan Menichella
Prediction summary
Winner
Seiya Nakanishi
Stefan Menichella
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Seiya Nakanishi
2-8 (W-L)
Stefan Menichella
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seiya Nakanishi 1434 · Stefan Menichella 1426
| Seiya Nakanishi | Stefan Menichella | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Seiya Nakanishi | Stefan Menichella | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.7-11.2 | 9.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seiya Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Kazushi Idogaki M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Makoto Ochi M25 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 03/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Dong Kyu Lee M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 20/02 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Stefan Menichella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Arjun Rathi M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Eric Ahren Moonga M15 Bali |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 30/08 | Renaldi Aqila A Salim M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/06 | Vit Kalina M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/01 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/01 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 21/01 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Avner Wong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Seiya Nakanishi vs Stefan Menichella?
Our model gives 66% to Stefan Menichella, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.