Tennis · ATP Beijing · 28/09, 05:00
Prediction: Rigele Te vs James Duckworth
Team pages: Rigele Te · James Duckworth
Prediction summary
Winner
Rigele Te
James Duckworth
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rigele Te
6-4 (W-L)
James Duckworth
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rigele Te
0–2
James Duckworth
(2 last)
- 23 Apr0-2 7-13L
- 13 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1534 · James Duckworth 1511
| Rigele Te | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rigele Te dominates on serve: 8 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Rigele Te 0–2 James Duckworth (2).
- Note: James Duckworth makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Rigele Te | James Duckworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 13.9-12.2 |
| Aces | 8 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 75.3% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3
Over 19.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 30% · 1.83
H2H · Rigele Te 0 – 2 James Duckworth (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rigele Te 0–2 James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/24 Challenger Shenzhen | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/05/16 ITF China F6 | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Bernard Tomic ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Casper Ruud Davis Cup |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 29/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Xirui Han M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
James Duckworth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Kamil Majchrzak Davis Cup |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 31/08 | Matteo Arnaldi US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 24-18 | W |
| 28/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs James Duckworth?
Our model gives 69% to James Duckworth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.