Tennis · Challenger Columbus · 29/09, 16:00
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Kim
Team pages: Stefan Kozlov · Aidan Kim
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefan Kozlov
Aidan Kim
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Stefan Kozlov
4-6 (W-L)
Aidan Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefan Kozlov
1–0
Aidan Kim
(1 last)
- 11 Jan1-0 12-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1421 · Aidan Kim 1514
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Kim (rating 1421 vs 1514).
- Aidan Kim is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 1–0 Aidan Kim (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Aidan Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-13.3 | 10.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 78.9% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 1 – 0 Aidan Kim (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 1–0 Aidan Kim
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/21 UTR Pro Tennis Series Florida | 1-0 | 12-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Zachary Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Aidan Kim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Ronit Karki Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Richard Mallory Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Trey Hilderbrand Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Trevor Svajda M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Kim?
Our model gives 60% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.