Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena
Team pages: Luis Guto Miguel · Facundo Mena
Prediction summary
Winner
Luis Guto Miguel
Facundo Mena
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Luis Guto Miguel
7-3 (W-L)
Facundo Mena
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luis Guto Miguel 1526 · Facundo Mena 1643
| Luis Guto Miguel | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Mena (rating 1526 vs 1643).
- Facundo Mena is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luis Guto Miguel | Facundo Mena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.2 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luis Guto Miguel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Facundo Mena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Renzo Olivo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 04/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena?
Our model gives 62% to Facundo Mena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.