Tennis · Challenger Porto · 29/09, 11:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Grigor Dimitrov
Team pages: Hugo Grenier · Grigor Dimitrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Grigor Dimitrov
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
4-6 (W-L)
Grigor Dimitrov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1470 · Grigor Dimitrov 1469
| Hugo Grenier | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Grigor Dimitrov dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Grigor Dimitrov makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.4 | 14.2-14.5 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 75% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Roman Safiullin ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Neil Oberleitner ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Grigor Dimitrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Holger Rune Davis Cup |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/09 | Elmer Moller Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexei Popyrin US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 26/08 | Timofey Skatov US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Lorenzo Giustino US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 06/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 27-27 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Grigor Dimitrov?
Our model gives 69% to Grigor Dimitrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.