Tennis · Challenger Porto · 27/09, 13:30
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Radu Albot
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Radu Albot
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Radu Albot
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1501 · Radu Albot 1552
| Petr Nesterov | Radu Albot | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radu Albot (rating 1501 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Radu Albot | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.3 | 13.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Radu Albot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Aleksandr Braynin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Conor Gannon Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 16/08 | Viktor Frydrych Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Radu Albot?
Our model gives 53% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.