Tennis · W35 Reims · 27/09, 12:30

Prediction: Alina Nesmianovych vs Georgina Hays

Team pages: Alina Nesmianovych · Georgina Hays

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Alina Nesmianovych Georgina Hays
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Nesmianovych 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWL
Georgina Hays 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alina Nesmianovych 1498 · Georgina Hays 1416
Alina NesmianovychGeorgina Hays
Our model62%38%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Nesmianovych (rating 1498 vs 1416).
  • Note: Alina Nesmianovych makes many double faults (9/match).
  • Note: Georgina Hays makes many double faults (7.5/match).

Statistics

Alina NesmianovychGeorgina Hays
Win %40%20%
Win % · Clay 50% (6) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.8-1.7
Games (G-P)11-11.48.6-11.6
Aces2.70.7
Double faults97.5
1st serve %57.9%61.2%
Break %54.4%31.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alina Nesmianovych

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/09 Kayla Lorrimer
W15 Dijon
1-2 12-11 L
06/09 Emma Brandt Schultz
W15 Dijon
2-0 12-3 W
02/09 Lian Tran
W15 Haren
1-2 14-15 L
02/08 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
W75 Koksijde
0-2 4-12 L
05/06 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
0-2 3-11 L
04/06 Anastasija Adeikyte
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-1 12-14 W
01/06 Natalia Fehr
W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
24/05 Alina Kornieieva
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
21/05 Daniela Ciobanu
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
20/05 Jinte de Boer
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
1-2 17-19 L

Georgina Hays

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Liv Boulard
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 6-13 L
25/08 Julia Garcia
W15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
27/07 Anastasiia Sorska
W50 Dublin
1-2 16-14 L
12/07 Anastasiya Kuparev
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
0-2 4-12 L
09/07 Martyna Kubka
W35 Don Benito
0-2 2-12 L
08/07 Maddalena Giordano
W35 Don Benito
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Summer Yardley
W35 Don Benito
2-1 12-11 W
29/06 Lucia Natal
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
01/03 Matylda Burylo
W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard
1-2 9-12 L
13/01 Arlinda Rushiti
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alina Nesmianovych vs Georgina Hays?

Our model gives 57% to Georgina Hays, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.