Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 10:00
Prediction: Filip Misolic vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Filip Misolic · Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Filip Misolic
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Filip Misolic
4-6 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Filip Misolic
0–1
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
(1 last)
- 09 Dec0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Misolic 1466 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1541
| Filip Misolic | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1466 vs 1541).
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Filip Misolic 0–1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko (1).
- Note: Filip Misolic makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Filip Misolic | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.4 | 12-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 74.8% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Filip Misolic 0 – 1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Filip Misolic 0–1 Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/20 M15 Antalya | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Misolic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Henri Squire Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Cerundolo US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 27/01 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Manama · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/01 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 12/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/01 | Daniel Jovanovski ATP Adelaide · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Misolic vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 57% to Filip Misolic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.