Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 13:00
Prediction: Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
Team pages: Filippo Francesco Garbero · Stefanos Sakellaridis
Prediction summary
Winner
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Filippo Francesco Garbero
5-5 (W-L)
Stefanos Sakellaridis
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Francesco Garbero 1428 · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1487
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 6% | 94% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1428 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Filippo Francesco Garbero | Stefanos Sakellaridis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-11 | 10.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Francesco Garbero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Matteo Mura M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alessandro Battiston M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Arad |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Stefan-Cristian Enache M15 Arad |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Mustapha El Natour M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriel Ghetu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Norbert Gombos Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex Molcan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 07/09 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Francesco Garbero vs Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Our model gives 78% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.