Tennis · Challenger Saint-Tropez · 26/09, 14:00
Prediction: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone
Team pages: Harold Mayot · Murphy Cassone
Prediction summary
Winner
Harold Mayot
Murphy Cassone
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Harold Mayot
8-2 (W-L)
Murphy Cassone
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harold Mayot 1580 · Murphy Cassone 1610
| Harold Mayot | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Harold Mayot | Murphy Cassone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-11.4 | 14.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 77% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harold Mayot
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Murphy Cassone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Daniel Masur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/09 | Billy Harris Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Clement Tabur Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone?
Our model gives 53% to Harold Mayot, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.