Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 26/09, 06:00
Prediction: Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras vs Kotaro Mochizuki
Team pages: Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras · Kotaro Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
Kotaro Mochizuki
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
4-6 (W-L)
Kotaro Mochizuki
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras 1470 · Kotaro Mochizuki 1579
| Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kotaro Mochizuki (rating 1470 vs 1579).
- Kotaro Mochizuki is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.7 | 11.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 24.1% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Liam Youn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Christopher Kosei Ono UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Abdumalik Kamalov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Ren Nakamura M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Ying Hou M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Jack McGary M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Ids Waterbolk ITF M25 Manzanillo |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/10 | Haruto Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kotaro Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras vs Kotaro Mochizuki?
Our model gives 78% to Kotaro Mochizuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.