Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 26/09, 04:30
Prediction: Naoki Nakagawa vs Hunter Heck
Team pages: Naoki Nakagawa · Hunter Heck
Prediction summary
Winner
Naoki Nakagawa
Hunter Heck
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Naoki Nakagawa
8-2 (W-L)
Hunter Heck
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoki Nakagawa 1608 · Hunter Heck 1589
| Naoki Nakagawa | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Naoki Nakagawa | Hunter Heck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.9 | 11.8-7.5 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 0 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 80% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoki Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/09 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Yua Taka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Cooper Woestendick M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/08 | Clement Chidekh M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Hunter Heck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Lachlan King UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ethan Cook Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Aditya Vishal Balsekar Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Nam Nguyen Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoki Nakagawa vs Hunter Heck?
Our model gives 57% to Naoki Nakagawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.