Tennis · W35 Sharm El Sheikh · 25/09, 08:30
Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Mara Guth
Team pages: Yuliya Hatouka · Mara Guth
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuliya Hatouka
Mara Guth
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka
6-4 (W-L)
Mara Guth
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yuliya Hatouka
1–1
Mara Guth
(2 last)
- 05 Apr0-2 4-12L
- 11 Oct2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1502 · Mara Guth 1538
| Yuliya Hatouka | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (8.4/match).
- Note: Mara Guth makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Yuliya Hatouka | Mara Guth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.2 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 8.4 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Yuliya Hatouka 1 – 1 Mara Guth (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuliya Hatouka 1–1 Mara Guth
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 W15 Monastir | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/10/24 ITF W35 Joue-Les-Tours | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuliya Hatouka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Emily Appleton W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Vargas W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Aleksandra Iankovskaia W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Viola Turini W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Mara Guth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Anna Sedysheva W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Liel Marlies Rothensteiner W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Margarita Betova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Valentina Ryser W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Margaux Komano W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/08 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W35 Verbier |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Michaela Bayerlova W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Mara Guth?
Our model gives 52% to Mara Guth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.