Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi · 25/09, 02:00
Prediction: Ryota Tanuma vs Kotaro Mochizuki
Team pages: Ryota Tanuma · Kotaro Mochizuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryota Tanuma
Kotaro Mochizuki
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ryota Tanuma
4-6 (W-L)
Kotaro Mochizuki
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryota Tanuma
4–0
Kotaro Mochizuki
(4 last)
- 15 Mar2-0 13-8W
- 20 Dec2-1 13-13W
- 21 Aug2-0 12-2W
- 20 Jun2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1528 · Kotaro Mochizuki 1550
| Ryota Tanuma | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ryota Tanuma 4–0 Kotaro Mochizuki (4).
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Kotaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.2 | 11.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Ryota Tanuma 4 – 0 Kotaro Mochizuki (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryota Tanuma 4–0 Kotaro Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/12/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/08/25 UTR Pro Yokohama | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06/24 UTR Pro Kawaguchi | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Jerry Roddick M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Naoya Honda M25 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Mao Takada M25 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Naoki Nakagawa M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Yuta Kawahashi M25 Urayasu |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Kotaro Mochizuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Taiyo Uenoyama UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Hong-Lin Fu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 16/08 | Yakumo Motokura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Yuki Karatsu UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryota Tanuma vs Kotaro Mochizuki?
Our model gives 68% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.