Tennis · M15 Columbia · 24/09, 17:00

Prediction: Corey Craig vs William Jansen

Team pages: Corey Craig · William Jansen

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Corey Craig William Jansen
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Corey Craig 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLW
William Jansen 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corey Craig 1537 · William Jansen 1534
Corey CraigWilliam Jansen
Our model50%50%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Corey CraigWilliam Jansen
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.4-1
Games (G-P)10.7-8.813.2-11.3
Aces1.37
Double faults11.5
1st serve %65.5%78.6%
Break %41.6%35.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corey Craig

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Atakan Karahan
M15 Columbia
2-0 13-9 W
22/09 Gianluca Carlini
M15 Columbia
2-1 9-8 W
18/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Rocco Valente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 7-1 W
05/07 Sebastian Sec
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
04/07 Jon Gamble
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
1-2 12-13 L
13/05 Liam Krall
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/12 Youcef Rihane
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/12 Andreas Scott
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

William Jansen

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Seydina Andre
M15 Columbia
2-0 13-8 W
30/07 Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot
1-2 14-17 L
29/07 Louis Bowden
M25 Aldershot
2-0 12-7 W
25/07 Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign
0-2 12-14 L
24/07 Karim Bennani
M25 Champaign
2-1 16-14 W
23/07 Ilyas Milad Fahim
M25 Champaign
2-1 16-11 W
22/07 Keaton Hance
M25 Champaign
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Alexander Frusina
M25 Louisville
0-2 10-13 L
15/07 Joshua Peck
M25 Louisville
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Felix Gill
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 15-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corey Craig vs William Jansen?

Our model gives 64% to William Jansen, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.