Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 24/09, 09:30
Prediction: Andrea De Marchi vs Laurent Lokoli
Team pages: Andrea De Marchi · Laurent Lokoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea De Marchi
Laurent Lokoli
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea De Marchi
6-4 (W-L)
Laurent Lokoli
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea De Marchi 1559 · Laurent Lokoli 1559
| Andrea De Marchi | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea De Marchi | Laurent Lokoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9 | 11.5-8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea De Marchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Marcello Serafini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Samuele Pieri M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Laurent Lokoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Pasquale De Giorgio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Marco Dessi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea De Marchi vs Laurent Lokoli?
Our model gives 65% to Laurent Lokoli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.