Tennis · M25 Sharm El Sheikh · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Samir Hamza Reguig vs Romain Faucon
Team pages: Samir Hamza Reguig · Romain Faucon
Prediction summary
Winner
Samir Hamza Reguig
Romain Faucon
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Samir Hamza Reguig
5-5 (W-L)
Romain Faucon
10-0 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Samir Hamza Reguig
1–0
Romain Faucon
(1 last)
- 20 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samir Hamza Reguig 1512 · Romain Faucon 1611
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Romain Faucon (rating 1512 vs 1611).
- Romain Faucon is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Samir Hamza Reguig 1–0 Romain Faucon (1).
Statistics
| Samir Hamza Reguig | Romain Faucon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.7 | 12.9-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Samir Hamza Reguig 1 – 0 Romain Faucon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Samir Hamza Reguig 1–0 Romain Faucon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/23 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samir Hamza Reguig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Darsh Sachin Patel M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Emirhan Bulut Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Piet Luis Pinter M15 Poprad |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Robert Guna M25 Bacau |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M25 Bacau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Romain Faucon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Georgios Nouchakis M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
1-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Amar Tahirovic M25 Meerbusch |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Ivan Zaytsev M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Jack Loge M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 22/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samir Hamza Reguig vs Romain Faucon?
Our model gives 70% to Romain Faucon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.