Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 25/09, 10:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Pol Martin Tiffon
Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Pol Martin Tiffon
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Pol Martin Tiffon
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Pol Martin Tiffon
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Alcala Gurri
0–3
Pol Martin Tiffon
(3 last)
- 17 Nov0-2 4-12L
- 25 Aug0-2 8-13L
- 02 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1562 · Pol Martin Tiffon 1515
| Max Alcala Gurri | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1562 vs 1515).
- Head-to-head: Max Alcala Gurri 0–3 Pol Martin Tiffon (3).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.3 | 11.6-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 50% | 30.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Max Alcala Gurri 0 – 3 Pol Martin Tiffon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Alcala Gurri 0–3 Pol Martin Tiffon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/24 ITF M15 Valencia | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08/21 M25 Santander | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/10/19 ITF M15 Sabadell | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Pol Martin Tiffon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Pol Martin Tiffon?
Our model gives 60% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.