Tennis · W15 Constanta · 24/09, 10:30
Prediction: Giulia Safina Popa vs Thea Marcu
Team pages: Giulia Safina Popa · Thea Marcu
Prediction summary
Winner
Giulia Safina Popa
Thea Marcu
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Giulia Safina Popa
6-4 (W-L)
Thea Marcu
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giulia Safina Popa
1–0
Thea Marcu
(1 last)
- 13 May2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giulia Safina Popa 1563 · Thea Marcu 1504
| Giulia Safina Popa | Thea Marcu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulia Safina Popa (rating 1563 vs 1504).
- Head-to-head: Giulia Safina Popa 1–0 Thea Marcu (1).
- Note: Giulia Safina Popa makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Giulia Safina Popa | Thea Marcu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8 | 8.8-7.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 57.4% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
H2H · Giulia Safina Popa 1 – 0 Thea Marcu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giulia Safina Popa 1–0 Thea Marcu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 W15 Bucharest | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giulia Safina Popa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/09 | Melinda Biro W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/09 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Simona Ogescu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Sofia Kryvoruchko W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 23/07 | Teodora Miron W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Thea Marcu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alla Traysta W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 08/09 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Campulung |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Brasov |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Nina Andronicou W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexia Ioana Tatu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Simona Ogescu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Ayanna Maria Mitu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giulia Safina Popa vs Thea Marcu?
Our model gives 74% to Giulia Safina Popa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.