Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 24/09, 04:00
Prediction: Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Yingqun Sun
Team pages: Aruzhan Sagandikova · Yingqun Sun
Prediction summary
Winner
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Yingqun Sun
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aruzhan Sagandikova
6-4 (W-L)
Yingqun Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1555 · Yingqun Sun 1445
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aruzhan Sagandikova (rating 1555 vs 1445).
- Aruzhan Sagandikova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aruzhan Sagandikova | Yingqun Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10 | 9.7-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 57.4% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 10/07 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/09 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Polina Leykina W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Hikaru Sato W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aruzhan Sagandikova vs Yingqun Sun?
Our model gives 57% to Aruzhan Sagandikova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.