Tennis · M15 Columbia · 23/09, 16:00

Prediction: Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy

Team pages: Teodor Davidov · Michael Bassem Sobhy

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Teodor Davidov Michael Bassem Sobhy
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Teodor Davidov 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLWLWLL
Michael Bassem Sobhy 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teodor Davidov 1440 · Michael Bassem Sobhy 1490
Teodor DavidovMichael Bassem Sobhy
Our model43%57%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Bassem Sobhy (rating 1440 vs 1490).
  • Note: Michael Bassem Sobhy makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Teodor DavidovMichael Bassem Sobhy
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.51.1-1.4
Games (G-P)7.1-10.112-12.6
Aces1.13.5
Double faults3.24.3
1st serve %59.3%68.2%
Break %30.5%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teodor Davidov

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Max Sheldon
M15 Columbia
0-2 7-12 L
16/07 Ozan Baris
M25 Louisville
0-2 1-12 L
15/07 William Manning
M25 Louisville
1-0 7-6 W
14/07 Oliver Sanders
M25 Louisville
2-1 9-7 W
05/05 Ryan Haviland
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
22/04 Andreja Petrovic
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/04 Liam Draxl
Challenger Sarasota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/02 Miguel Tobon
M15 Naples · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
25/02 Ivan Dreycopp
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
20/02 Louis Wessels
M15 Naples · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Michael Bassem Sobhy

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Gabriele Crivellaro
Challenger Cordenons · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M25 Kassel
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Saba Purtseladze
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 11-18 L
14/06 Florian Broska
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
03/06 Nazim Makhlouf
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
17/05 Aaron Funk
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
15/05 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 17-11 W
14/05 Bekkhan Atlangeriev
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
13/05 Jorge Plans
M25 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W
24/04 Olle Wallin
M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 13-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teodor Davidov vs Michael Bassem Sobhy?

Our model gives 64% to Michael Bassem Sobhy, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.