Tennis · M15 Columbia · 23/09, 19:00

Prediction: Corey Craig vs Atakan Karahan

Team pages: Corey Craig · Atakan Karahan

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Corey Craig Atakan Karahan
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Corey Craig 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLWLL
Atakan Karahan 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Corey Craig 1552 · Atakan Karahan 1520
Corey CraigAtakan Karahan
Our model55%45%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Corey CraigAtakan Karahan
Win %70%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (5) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.3-1
Games (G-P)10.6-8.39.6-9.8
Aces1.22.7
Double faults1.22.9
1st serve %65.7%61.1%
Break %46.6%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Corey Craig

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Gianluca Carlini
M15 Columbia
2-1 9-8 W
18/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/08 Rocco Valente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 7-1 W
05/07 Sebastian Sec
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
04/07 Jon Gamble
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
14/05 Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
1-2 12-13 L
13/05 Liam Krall
M25 Pensacola · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
04/12 Youcef Rihane
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/12 Andreas Scott
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/12 John Bernard
UTR Pro Tallahassee · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Atakan Karahan

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Henry Lieberman
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-7 W
08/09 Max Basing
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
25/06 Blake Hilsen
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 14-12 W
24/06 Rajat Shirur
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 12-13 W
23/06 Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 8-14 L
06/12 Jon Gamble
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
05/12 Gordon Whitwell
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/12 Benjamin Martin
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/12 Graeme Angus
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/12 Karl Poling
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Corey Craig vs Atakan Karahan?

Our model gives 68% to Corey Craig, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.