Tennis · M15 Columbia · 23/09, 19:00

Prediction: Nathan Cox vs Antonin Witz

Team pages: Nathan Cox · Antonin Witz

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Nathan Cox Antonin Witz
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nathan Cox 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLLLW
Antonin Witz 3-7 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nathan Cox 1478 · Antonin Witz 1467
Nathan CoxAntonin Witz
Our model52%48%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Antonin Witz makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Nathan CoxAntonin Witz
Win %40%30%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.40.7-1.4
Games (G-P)10.7-9.48.7-9.7
Aces21
Double faults2.36
1st serve %66.4%60.3%
Break %44.7%50.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nathan Cox

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Columbia
2-0 13-6 W
19/08 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
10/08 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 10-8 L
17/07 Axel Nefve
M15 Rochester
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Zac Hamill
M15 Rochester
2-0 12-1 W
07/07 Jonah Braswell
M25 Dallas
1-2 8-11 L
23/06 Hiroki Sakagawa
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
0-2 6-9 L
18/06 Neo Niedner
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Aadarsh Tripathi
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W

Antonin Witz

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Luca Wiedenmann
M25 Uriage
0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Adrien Berrut
M25 Uriage
0-2 1-12 L
13/07 Attila Hueller-Varga
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Tristan Berard
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
20/05 Felix Balshaw
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/05 Christophe Pognon
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/05 Gabriel Jalouneix
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/03 Timeo Trufelli
M25 Toulouse
0-2 10-13 L
08/03 Benoit Geldof
M25 Creteil · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/03 Liam Branger
M15 Poitiers · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nathan Cox vs Antonin Witz?

Our model gives 60% to Nathan Cox, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.