Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio
Team pages: Veronika Erjavec · Nuria Brancaccio
Prediction summary
Winner
Veronika Erjavec
Nuria Brancaccio
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Veronika Erjavec
3-7 (W-L)
Nuria Brancaccio
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Veronika Erjavec
4–2
Nuria Brancaccio
(6 last)
- 13 Mar2-0 12-5W
- 27 Feb2-1 13-14W
- 02 Aug0-2 3-12L
- 22 May2-0 13-7W
- 01 Aug2-0 13-7W
- 29 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Veronika Erjavec 1511 · Nuria Brancaccio 1507
| Veronika Erjavec | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Veronika Erjavec 4–2 Nuria Brancaccio (6).
Statistics
| Veronika Erjavec | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.2 | 11.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Veronika Erjavec 4 – 2 Nuria Brancaccio (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Veronika Erjavec 4–2 Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 WTA Antalya | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/02/26 WTA Antalya | 2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 02/08/25 W75 Cordenons | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05/25 French Open Women | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08/24 W75 Cordenons | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/11/21 ITF W25 Selva Gardena | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Veronika Erjavec
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Jasmine Paolini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Julia Grabher WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Gina Feistel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Victoria Bosio WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Nuria Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Francesca Jones US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Nastasja Schunk W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay W75 Hechingen |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Mia Ristic W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Martina Trevisan W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Veronika Erjavec vs Nuria Brancaccio?
Our model gives 52% to Veronika Erjavec, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.