Tennis · WTA Singapore · 23/09, 08:30
Prediction: Elise Mertens vs Barbora Krejcikova
Team pages: Elise Mertens · Barbora Krejcikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Elise Mertens
Barbora Krejcikova
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elise Mertens
5-5 (W-L)
Barbora Krejcikova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elise Mertens
1–0
Barbora Krejcikova
(1 last)
- 08 Jan2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elise Mertens 1549 · Barbora Krejcikova 1521
| Elise Mertens | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Elise Mertens 1–0 Barbora Krejcikova (1).
- Note: Elise Mertens makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Barbora Krejcikova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Elise Mertens | Barbora Krejcikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-11.1 | 12.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.1
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 42% · 1.83
H2H · Elise Mertens 1 – 0 Barbora Krejcikova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elise Mertens 1–0 Barbora Krejcikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/26 United Cup Women | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elise Mertens
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Maria Timofeeva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Panna Udvardy WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Diane Parry WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Barbora Krejcikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Anna-Lena Friedsam WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/08 | Kamilla Rakhimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Clara Tauson WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elise Mertens vs Barbora Krejcikova?
Our model gives 56% to Elise Mertens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.