Prediction: Jelena Ostapenko vs Taylah Preston
Team pages: Jelena Ostapenko · Taylah Preston
Prediction summary
Winner
Jelena Ostapenko
Taylah Preston
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jelena Ostapenko
6-4 (W-L)
Taylah Preston
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jelena Ostapenko 1530 · Taylah Preston 1542
| Jelena Ostapenko | Taylah Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jelena Ostapenko makes many double faults (8.2/match).
- Note: Taylah Preston makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Jelena Ostapenko | Taylah Preston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 8.2 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jelena Ostapenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Tatjana Maria US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Antonia Ruzic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Harriet Dart Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesca Jones WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Taylah Preston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Taylor Townsend US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Alycia Parks US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Priscilla Hon WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Haruka Kaji WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jelena Ostapenko vs Taylah Preston?
Our model gives 59% to Jelena Ostapenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.