Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 23/09, 06:30

Prediction: Chenting Zhu vs Albina Kakenova

Team pages: Chenting Zhu · Albina Kakenova

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Chenting Zhu Albina Kakenova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chenting Zhu 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWWL
Albina Kakenova 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chenting Zhu 1538 · Albina Kakenova 1476
Chenting ZhuAlbina Kakenova
Our model59%41%
Market92%8%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1538 vs 1476).
  • Chenting Zhu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (6.5/match).
  • Note: Albina Kakenova makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Chenting ZhuAlbina Kakenova
Win %60%30%
Win % · Hard 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.7-1.4
Games (G-P)10.5-9.89.2-10.9
Aces2.30.8
Double faults6.55.1
1st serve %69.2%58.9%
Break %37.9%43.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chenting Zhu

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Han Shi
W35 Shenyang
0-2 9-13 L
14/09 Yuhan Wang
W35 Shenyang
2-1 12-11 W
13/09 Yu-Yun Li
W35 Shenyang
2-1 13-9 W
10/09 Chia Yi Tsao
W15 Yeongwol
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Miyu Nakashima
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-5 W
04/09 Yujin Kim
W15 Yeongwol
1-1 9-10 L
03/09 Sunam Jeong
W15 Yeongwol
2-1 17-15 W
02/09 Himari Sato
W15 Yeongwol
2-0 12-5 W
21/08 Peangtarn Plipuech
W15 Tianjin
0-2 5-12 L
20/08 Yidi Yang
W15 Tianjin
2-0 12-6 W

Albina Kakenova

LLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/09 Yu Shan
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Irem Kurt
W15 Astana
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Anna Bazderova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
27/07 Leonie Rabl
W15 Astana
0-2 7-12 L
14/07 Daria Kuznetsova
W15 Astana
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Gaeul Jang
W15 Astana
1-2 11-17 L
04/06 Satima Toregen
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 12-14 L
02/06 Zeynep Ilker
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/05 Irem Kurt
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
27/05 Sofiia Suslova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chenting Zhu vs Albina Kakenova?

Our model gives 77% to Chenting Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.