Tennis · M15 Columbia · 22/09, 17:30
Prediction: Shu Matsuoka vs Nathan Cox
Team pages: Shu Matsuoka · Nathan Cox
Prediction summary
Winner
Shu Matsuoka
Nathan Cox
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Shu Matsuoka
2-8 (W-L)
Nathan Cox
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shu Matsuoka 1475 · Nathan Cox 1466
| Shu Matsuoka | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Shu Matsuoka | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.4 | 10.3-10 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 33.1% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shu Matsuoka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 16/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/05 | Evan Zhu M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/03 | Marc Polmans Challenger Phoenix · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/12 | Keegan Smith ITF M15 Tauranga · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Nathan Cox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Zac Hamill M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Liam Krall M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shu Matsuoka vs Nathan Cox?
Our model gives 53% to Shu Matsuoka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.