Tennis · M15 Columbia · 22/09, 17:30
Prediction: Atakan Karahan vs Henry Lieberman
Team pages: Atakan Karahan · Henry Lieberman
Prediction summary
Winner
Atakan Karahan
Henry Lieberman
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Atakan Karahan
5-5 (W-L)
Henry Lieberman
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Atakan Karahan 1523 · Henry Lieberman 1413
| Atakan Karahan | Henry Lieberman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atakan Karahan (rating 1523 vs 1413).
- Atakan Karahan is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Henry Lieberman makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Atakan Karahan | Henry Lieberman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.8 | 9-10.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atakan Karahan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Rajat Shirur UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 06/12 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/12 | Gordon Whitwell UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/12 | Benjamin Martin UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/12 | Karl Poling UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/11 | Vlado Jankanj UTR Pro Oxford · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Henry Lieberman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Victor Ryden M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Keshav Chopra M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Dillon Beckles M15 Rochester |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Miko Lapalme M25 Laval |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Noah Karma M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 17/05 | Korto Rius M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/05 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 06/05 | Conor Gannon M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Mason Dace M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atakan Karahan vs Henry Lieberman?
Our model gives 52% to Atakan Karahan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.