Tennis · M25 Setubal · 23/09, 11:00
Prediction: Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen
Team pages: Francisco Rocha · Patrick Schoen
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisco Rocha
Patrick Schoen
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Francisco Rocha
3-7 (W-L)
Patrick Schoen
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francisco Rocha
0–1
Patrick Schoen
(1 last)
- 30 Apr0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisco Rocha 1465 · Patrick Schoen 1661
| Francisco Rocha | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1465 vs 1661).
- Patrick Schoen is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Francisco Rocha 0–1 Patrick Schoen (1).
- Note: Francisco Rocha makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Francisco Rocha | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 2-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.6 | 13.1-7.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Francisco Rocha 0 – 1 Patrick Schoen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francisco Rocha 0–1 Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/26 M25 Quinta do Lago | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisco Rocha
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Matisse Farzam M15 Castelo Branco |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Goncalo Marques M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Jack Anthrop M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisco Rocha vs Patrick Schoen?
Our model gives 82% to Patrick Schoen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.