Tennis · W15 Constanta · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Joulia Cristiana Cirstea vs Serena Paris
Team pages: Joulia Cristiana Cirstea · Serena Paris
Prediction summary
Winner
Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
Serena Paris
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
5-5 (W-L)
Serena Paris
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joulia Cristiana Cirstea 1458 · Serena Paris 1498
| Joulia Cristiana Cirstea | Serena Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Serena Paris (rating 1458 vs 1498).
- Note: Joulia Cristiana Cirstea makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Joulia Cristiana Cirstea | Serena Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.3 | 10-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51.8% | 58% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 58.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joulia Cristiana Cirstea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Simona Ogescu W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Julia Stamatova W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexia Patru W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Daria Ioana Pastoric W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Lilian Poling W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/11 | Antonia Schmidt W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Mariia Masiianskaia W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Serena Paris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Agnese Gentili W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Viola Cossari W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/09 | Alesia Breaz W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Sofia Kryvoruchko W15 Brasov |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Asia Scuppa W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/09 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Brasov |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Alexandra Irina Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Tatyana Golovina W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joulia Cristiana Cirstea vs Serena Paris?
Our model gives 55% to Joulia Cristiana Cirstea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.