Tennis · UTR Pro College Station Women · 25/09, 20:00
Prediction: Rachael Smith vs Ruby Cooling
Team pages: Rachael Smith · Ruby Cooling
Prediction summary
Winner
Rachael Smith
Ruby Cooling
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rachael Smith
6-4 (W-L)
Ruby Cooling
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rachael Smith 1523 · Ruby Cooling 1446
| Rachael Smith | Ruby Cooling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rachael Smith (rating 1523 vs 1446).
- Rachael Smith is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ruby Cooling makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Rachael Smith | Ruby Cooling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-8.2 | 7.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rachael Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Savannah Broadus W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 27/07 | Elena Ecker W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ana Grubor W75 Granby |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mirka Delaney W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Maya Iacoban W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Gresi Bajri W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
Ruby Cooling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Noemie Oliveras UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/08 | Edie Griffiths W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-7 | L |
| 28/07 | Hannah Klugman W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Andre Lukosiute W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Lian Tran W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 29/04 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Nottingham |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/04 | Harmony Tan W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rachael Smith vs Ruby Cooling?
Our model gives 52% to Ruby Cooling, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.