Tennis · M15 Columbia · 23/09, 16:00
Prediction: Olaf Pieczkowski vs Zsombor Velcz
Team pages: Olaf Pieczkowski · Zsombor Velcz
Prediction summary
Winner
Olaf Pieczkowski
Zsombor Velcz
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Olaf Pieczkowski
5-5 (W-L)
Zsombor Velcz
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olaf Pieczkowski 1484 · Zsombor Velcz 1542
| Olaf Pieczkowski | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Velcz (rating 1484 vs 1542).
- Note: Olaf Pieczkowski makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Olaf Pieczkowski | Zsombor Velcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.8 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 68.6% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olaf Pieczkowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Dan Brand M15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Garrett Johns Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/05 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/03 | Andrew Fenty M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Branko Djuric M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 19/03 | Billy Suarez M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/03 | Christopher Papa M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 San Jose |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Zsombor Velcz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Orel Kimhi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Jordan Hasson M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/07 | Charlie Robertson M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Filip Peliwo M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Khololwam Montsi M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Jordan Hasson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Romain Faucon M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olaf Pieczkowski vs Zsombor Velcz?
Our model gives 51% to Olaf Pieczkowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.