Tennis · M15 Columbia · 23/09, 16:00
Prediction: Charlie Swaine vs Duje Markovina
Team pages: Charlie Swaine · Duje Markovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlie Swaine
Duje Markovina
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlie Swaine
4-6 (W-L)
Duje Markovina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlie Swaine 1473 · Duje Markovina 1476
| Charlie Swaine | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Duje Markovina dominates on serve: 7 aces and 44.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Charlie Swaine | Duje Markovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.8 | 11.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlie Swaine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Hugo Coquelin M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | William Mclennaghan M25 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Peter Sallay UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/06 | Botond Kisantal UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Adam Jilly UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Martyn Pawelski UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Azariah Rusher UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aleksa Pisaric UTR Pro Skopje · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Duje Markovina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Ymerali Ibraimi M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 25/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Chase Ferguson M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Blake Ellis M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-1 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlie Swaine vs Duje Markovina?
Our model gives 66% to Duje Markovina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.