Tennis · UTR Pro College Station Women · 25/09, 18:30
Prediction: Emily Welker vs Sydney Jara
Team pages: Sydney Jara
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Welker
Sydney Jara
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Welker
9-1 (W-L)
Sydney Jara
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Welker 1642 · Sydney Jara 1548
| Emily Welker | Sydney Jara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Welker (rating 1642 vs 1548).
- Emily Welker is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Emily Welker | Sydney Jara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-4.5 | 11.4-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 73.3% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Welker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Kori Montoya UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Petja Drame UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Tereza Vajsejtlova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/09 | Lara Nodis UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikol Sevald UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Luna Dinoto Fernandez UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Laura Boehner UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Julita Saner UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Sydney Jara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Petja Drame UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Natalie Cinkova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/08 | Allison Isaacs UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Isabella Camacho UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Monika Wojcik UTR Pro Tallahassee Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Angelina Voloshchuk W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Taylor Goetz W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Alana Smith WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Welker vs Sydney Jara?
Our model gives 70% to Emily Welker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.