Tennis · UTR Pro College Station · 24/09, 17:00
Prediction: Arin Pallegar vs Lathan Skrobarcek
Team pages: Arin Pallegar · Lathan Skrobarcek
Prediction summary
Winner
Arin Pallegar
Lathan Skrobarcek
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Arin Pallegar
5-5 (W-L)
Lathan Skrobarcek
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Arin Pallegar
0–1
Lathan Skrobarcek
(1 last)
- 08 Apr0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arin Pallegar 1499 · Lathan Skrobarcek 1612
| Arin Pallegar | Lathan Skrobarcek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lathan Skrobarcek (rating 1499 vs 1612).
- Lathan Skrobarcek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Arin Pallegar 0–1 Lathan Skrobarcek (1).
- Note: Lathan Skrobarcek makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Arin Pallegar | Lathan Skrobarcek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.9 | 13.3-7.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Arin Pallegar 0 – 1 Lathan Skrobarcek (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arin Pallegar 0–1 Lathan Skrobarcek
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/25 UTR Pro Spring | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arin Pallegar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Andreas Scott UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Adrian Solorzano UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Vyas UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Togan Tokac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Youssef Labbene M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/01 | Avner Wong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/01 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/01 | Renaud Lefevre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/01 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lathan Skrobarcek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Aditya Vyas UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Adrian Solorzano UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Simon Caldwell UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Roman Sancilio UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Alex Fuchs UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Egor Gorin UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/07 | August Brostroem Poulsen UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arin Pallegar vs Lathan Skrobarcek?
Our model gives 73% to Lathan Skrobarcek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.