Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Tena Lukas vs Verena Meliss
Team pages: Tena Lukas · Verena Meliss
Prediction summary
Winner
Tena Lukas
Verena Meliss
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Tena Lukas
5-5 (W-L)
Verena Meliss
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tena Lukas 1487 · Verena Meliss 1416
| Tena Lukas | Verena Meliss | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tena Lukas (rating 1487 vs 1416).
- Tena Lukas is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Tena Lukas | Verena Meliss | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.3 | 11.1-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 53.4% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tena Lukas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Madison Sieg WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Aya Akan WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Joy De Zeeuw W50 Oldenzaal |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Lola Giza W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Leticia Solakov W35 Erwitte |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Eva Bennemann W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Verena Meliss
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Trieste |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Erwitte |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Monique Barry W50 Hamburg |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Eleonora Alvisi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Tatiana Pieri W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 20/07 | Monique Barry W75 Cordenons |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 14/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Emma Lene W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tena Lukas vs Verena Meliss?
Our model gives 67% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.