Tennis · M25 Sharm El Sheikh · 23/09, 09:00

Prediction: Aziz Ouakaa vs Pietro Orlando Fellin

Team pages: Aziz Ouakaa · Pietro Orlando Fellin

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Aziz Ouakaa Pietro Orlando Fellin
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Aziz Ouakaa 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLL
Pietro Orlando Fellin 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aziz Ouakaa 1475 · Pietro Orlando Fellin 1538
Aziz OuakaaPietro Orlando Fellin
Our model41%59%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pietro Orlando Fellin (rating 1475 vs 1538).
  • Pietro Orlando Fellin is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Aziz OuakaaPietro Orlando Fellin
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.31.4-0.9
Games (G-P)8.8-10.411.4-11.4
Aces4.21.8
Double faults31.6
1st serve %68.4%68%
Break %38.6%37.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aziz Ouakaa

LWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/09 Josh Manuel
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/09 Jorge Plans
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Bora Sengul
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/09 Rahul Dhokia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Jie Cui
Challenger Astana · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
02/08 Hunter Heck
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/07 Cyril Vandermeersch
Challenger Segovia · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
19/07 Maxwell McKennon
Challenger Segovia · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
16/07 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
14/07 Juan Pablo Ficovich
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
2-1 17-16 W

Pietro Orlando Fellin

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
16/08 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
06/07 Luca Potenza
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
05/07 Johannes Ingildsen
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
03/07 Matyas Cerny
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Veljko Krstic
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
30/06 Radovan Michalik
M15 Umag · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
21/06 Nico Hipfl
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
20/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/06 Abel Forger
M15 Gyula · ~Clay
2-1 19-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aziz Ouakaa vs Pietro Orlando Fellin?

Our model gives 60% to Pietro Orlando Fellin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.