Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 22/09, 05:00
Prediction: Yu Shan vs Albina Kakenova
Team pages: Yu Shan · Albina Kakenova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yu Shan
Albina Kakenova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Yu Shan
3-7 (W-L)
Albina Kakenova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yu Shan 1396 · Albina Kakenova 1469
| Yu Shan | Albina Kakenova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Albina Kakenova (rating 1396 vs 1469).
- Note: Yu Shan makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Albina Kakenova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Yu Shan | Albina Kakenova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.9 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.3-12.4 | 9.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 54.4% | 57% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yu Shan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Samantha Imbo Nloga W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Pimlaphat Lim W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-10 | L |
| 28/04 | Elsa Wan W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/04 | Xiaowei Li W50 Baotou · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/12 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/11 | Lan Mi W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Sofya Gapankova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/11 | Jinte de Boer W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
Albina Kakenova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Anna Bazderova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Leonie Rabl W15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Daria Kuznetsova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Satima Toregen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Zeynep Ilker W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sofiia Suslova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Vlada Guryleva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yu Shan vs Albina Kakenova?
Our model gives 67% to Albina Kakenova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.