Tennis · W15 Maanshan · 22/09, 06:30
Prediction: Yingqun Sun vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Team pages: Yingqun Sun · Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yingqun Sun
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Yingqun Sun
2-8 (W-L)
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yingqun Sun 1414 · Asylzhan Arystanbekova 1611
| Yingqun Sun | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 76% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Asylzhan Arystanbekova (rating 1414 vs 1611).
- Asylzhan Arystanbekova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yingqun Sun | Asylzhan Arystanbekova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.7 | 10.7-5.8 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yingqun Sun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Meng Yi Chen W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Polina Leykina W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Hikaru Sato W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Han Shi W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Yuno Kitahara W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/08 | Ya-Yi Yang W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Anastasiia Gureva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Asylzhan Arystanbekova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Shiyu Ye W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Ke Ren W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Miho Kuramochi W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Haruna Arakawa W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Irem Kurt W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Anna Pushkareva W15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/08 | Su Jeong Jang W15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Edda Mamedova W15 Astana |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yingqun Sun vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova?
Our model gives 74% to Asylzhan Arystanbekova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.